hurricane ike track
With Hurricane Ike Hurricane Ike possibly headed for the same area headed for the same area in about five days, one might consider whether it is worth the effort to go back out there and restart things until the latest storm passes.
The National Hurricane Center says Hurricane Ike has weakened to a Category 1 storm as it moves along Cuba’s southern coast.
Kenneth, the simulations of individual storms using the 15 day 40 km resolution Var EPS ensemble prediction system provides a far better simulation of the hurricanes than does the ECMWF seasonal forecasting system with resolution of about 125 km, which can only simulate the largest storms and seasonal numbers of total tropical cyclones need to be adjusted to climatology.
Consensus forecasts have become an integral part of operational tropical cyclone track forecasting.
This is an attempt to get the post linky thingy right and to comment that my view of the forecast track you gave, David, would indicate that the forecast was quite good.
“WSI has developed a tool that goes well beyond what is currently available by applying our expertise and deep understanding of weather prediction to advance hurricane forecasting to the next level,” said Ira Scharf, General Manager of WSI’s Energy and Risk Services.
Hurricane Ike strengthened to a dangerous Category 4 storm and barreled toward the Turks and Caicos with 135 mph winds Saturday, prompting an exodus of tourists and residents from the normally idyllic Atlantic island chain.
Hurricane Ike Projected Path - Hurricane Ike rapidly strengthened from a strong tropical storm to a Category 4 Hurricane with winds of 115 knots within a 12 hour period on Wednesday.
Hurricane Ike weakened slightly Sunday to a Category 3 storm as it bore down on eastern Cuba, but weather experts said it was still a “major hurricane” that could once again threaten the U.S. This puts the region from Houston to New Orleans at risk.
Hurricane Ike is currently spinning over the warm waters of the central Atlantic.
Oil prices rose on Monday on fears that Hurricane Ike would disrupt oil production in the Gulf of Mexico.
On Saturday evening, Hurricane Ike is a category four storm approaching the Turks and Caicos Islands.
Source: Storm tracks and forecasted paths derived from data provided by the National Hurricane Center National Hurricane Center.
The black line and dots show the National Hurricane Center forecast track of the center at the times indicated.
By late afternoon Ike had weakened to a Category 1 storm, and a hurricane warning for the island chain was discontinued.
Forecasters at the National Hurricane Center warned that, after passing into the Gulf of Mexico sometime Tuesday night, Ike could make landfall in the U.S. This graphic shows an approximate representation of coastal areas under a hurricane warning , hurricane watch , tropical storm warning and tropical storm watch . This graphic shows an approximate representation of coastal areas under a hurricane warning , hurricane watch , tropical storm warning and tropical storm watch .
NHC forecast tracks of the center can be in error; track forecast errors in recent years were used to construct the areas of uncertainty for the first 3 days and for days 4 and 5 . These areas of uncertainty are formed by enclosing the area swept out by a set of circles along the forecast track .
Note: A detailed definition of the NHC track forecast cone is also available.
Hurricane Hanna is projected to storm up the east coast and make landfall in South Carolina.
Hurricane Gustav is the seventh tropical cyclone and third hurricane of the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season.
A new study predicts changes in the frequency and intensity of Atlantic hurricanes and cyclones, and yields surprising results.
Hurricane Dean is expected to develop in the Caribbean sometime today and strengthen into a powerful storm as it enters the warm waters of the.
Hurricane Dolly is moving towards a landfall on Wednesday morning on the Gulf of Mexico shoreline at the border between Texas and Mexico.
The National Hurricane Center monitors the Atlantic Ocean, Pacific Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico for tropical storms and hurricanes. Tropical Storm Gustav, the seventh this year, formed in the Caribbean and is moving towards southwest Haiti where hurricane warnings have already been issued.
Track Hurricane Ike / Stormpulse / Hurricane tracking, mapping
